Europe’s Nightmare is Here: They Have to Fight Putin without the US
The Crisis has become a Reality
In the face of the most severe threat to European security since the end of World War II, European leaders are confronted with the harsh reality that they may have to fight Russia without the backing of the United States. The crisis has forced them to re-evaluate their priorities and consider a long-term strategy to ensure their security and independence.
The Trust is Broken
The transatlantic relationship, forged during World War II and strengthened by shared values and trust, has been severely tested. When Donald Trump’s administration disagreed with the United Nations’ condemnation of Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, some officials felt a deep sense of betrayal. The trust that underpinned the alliance has been broken, and the consequences will be far-reaching.
A New Era of Barbarity
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock described the situation as an era of barbarity, where the rules-based international order must defend itself against the power of the mighty. The European Union is facing an unprecedented challenge, one that requires a unified response to restore their security and sovereignty.
The Economic Consequences
The economic impact of the crisis will also be significant. The trading relationship between the US and the EU is the largest in the world, valued at €1.6 trillion in 2023. The European Commission is preparing lists of goods to target in response to potential US tariffs on EU exports. The crisis will also affect US prosperity and security, as the US-EU trading relationship is crucial to both sides.
A Shift in Strategies
The European Union is shifting its focus from relying on the United States to developing its own capabilities and partnerships. They are working to strengthen ties with like-minded nations such as Canada and exploring new trade relations with countries in Asia and Latin America. The bloc may also be less inclined to cooperate with the US on China and other issues in the far east.
The Need for EU Coherence
EU member states must work together to create a unified response to the crisis. This will require significant investment in defense, with some experts suggesting that defense budgets should increase to at least 3% of GDP, and possibly as high as 7% in extreme scenarios. The bloc must also develop its own capabilities in areas such as intelligence, space, and battlefield communications.
Conclusion
The crisis between the US and Europe has set off a chain reaction, forcing European leaders to re-evaluate their priorities and strategies. The stakes are high, and the outcome is far from certain. Europe’s nightmare is here, and they must confront it head-on, without the backing of the United States.
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